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"CHANCE"
HAS NO
CHANCE TO
CREATE LIFE
In the famous debate between Wilberforce and Huxley, the latter asked
the theologian/mathematician for three assumptions: Ten monkeys that
never die, ten perfect typewriters that never break or run out of ink,
and unlimited amounts of paper. Having granted Huxley these assumptions,
Wilberforce was backed into a mathematical corner: According to the
Probability Formula, as you reach infinity in the amount of time, the probability
for anything becomes "1," or "a foregone conclusion. Therefore,
Huxley's monkeys, clanging away at the typewriters, would eventually type
out all the works of Shakespeare, and other works -- including Psalm 23.
Shamed, Wilberforce never again spoke in public; the defeat was rabidly
pounced upon by Darwinist and liberal theologian alike as a death-knell
for rational thought.
Huxley, however, had a problem that neither he nor any of his contemporaries
ever picked up on. His starting assumptions were grossly faulty.
Leaving aside for the moment a discussion of amino chirality and reversible
processes (which dictate that in a random environment amino acids will
never form proteins or even peptides due to the nasty little problem of
"critical mass"), we note that the universe is not infinitely
old. Even rabid evolutionists agree that the universe had an origin.
Seeing as how it did, that seriously truncates Huxley's monkeys chances.
The most liberal (i.e., "favorable to chance") probability I've been
able to find calculates the odds of DNA spontaneously producing itself
from a primordial "ooze" at 1 in 1070. Let's put that
into perspective.
Granting for the moment the ridiculously inflated estimates for the
universe's age given by evolutionists, and assuming that present estimates
for the universe's actual volume are correct, we find that:
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There are only 1018 seconds
in the history of the universe
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There are only 1066 atoms in
the universe
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There are only 1080 particles
in the universe
What this means is that a) there's not been enough time
in the universe for DNA to spontaneously generate [if you had one try every
second, you're out of luck; even if you had one try every microsecond,
that's still only 1024, so you're still out of luck];
b) there's not enough material in the universe to experiment
with.
Now, that's using a very liberal estimate of the chances for
DNA to develop randomly. But once you have the molecule, you're still
not out of the woods; for DNA to be viable, all the required
attendant protein apparatus are necessary for reproduction! It's not as
simple as "cooking up the stuff" (the way Stanley Miller tried -- and
failed to do back in 1953); the entire molecule must be completely
present, absolutely without error, the first time,
along with attendant servant proteins, in order to be viable; i.e., to
reproduce.
Why? Superb question! Here's the answer:
The DNA molecule contains coded information and complex interactions
that are so interdependent, that if one of the necessary pieces
is out of order or missing, the entire construct becomes unviable.
This is made all the more impossible when one considers that in order for
DNA to reproduce, there must be a special error-correcting protein
that has to travel up the nucleotide chain to check for errors. This protein
is in turn produced by the DNA molecule (of necessity, since that's how
we get proteins in the first place; from DNA) Which brings up a
very irritating (to the evolutionist) twist to the old quandry, "which
came first?" The duplication protein, or DNA?
Both had to be present, in perfect working
order, at the same time.
Add to that the fact that DNA is a truly breathtaking
-- and absolutely unparalleled -- example of an information storage
system. The information encoded on the DNA molecule is, first of all,
digital. It is encoded in 4-bit code [the four bases that make up
nucleotides: adenine, thymidine, cytosine, and guanine]. DNA has built-in
redundancy to ensure error-free data transfer; that is, many nucleotide
sequences occur in multiple places, so that if one sequence is damaged
(the special duplication protein knows when it is so!), the backup
sequence can take over the production of the necessary proteins! DNA also
is error-correcting (the duplication protein travels up the "daugher molecule"
checking for errors). In summary, the DNA molecule stores coded information
in 4-bit binary, redundant, error-correcting chains. And all
this must be in place, perfectly, before any duplication (i.e., "reproduction")
can take place.
Harold Morowitz estimates the probability of all necessary conditions
existing simultaneously for a single "simple" cell to be at 1 in 10100,000,000,000,
or similar to the odds of winning 10,000 lotteries in a row.
Sir Frederick Hoyle (an avowed atheist) calculates the odds of only
the proteins of an amoebae arising by chance as 1 in 1040,000!
What are the odds? Well, in order for all of this to occur (and
it must in order for evolution to be a viable theory of origins),
we compute as follows:
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1017 seconds in the history of the universe (average age estimated
by evolutionists)
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1084 particles in the universe (counting baryons)
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1020 events per second (maximum number of conceivable interactions
between subatomic particles)
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10121 total events (1017 x 1084 x 1020
= 10121)
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10100,000,000,000 events necessary to produce a single living
cell (estimate by molecular biologist Harold Morowitz)
The equation would be thus:
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Probability of evolutionary start = 10121 / 10100,000,000,000
= 1 / 1099,999,999,879 = zero
One final thing should be noted: Whereas nothing is mathematically "impossible,"
strictly speaking, statisticians define odds beyond 1 in 1050
as being absurd, or as being so incredibly unlikely that it will
never occur. So, not only is there not enough time in the universe
(even granting evolutionists their mythological "billions of years"), and
not enough material in the universe for the necessary tries, and
not enough chances in the first place in the universe, the best-case
scenario for DNA producing itself randomly calculates out to zero,
but even the best odds available are definitionally absurd!!!
Conclusion: Evolution is on pure mathematical
grounds. |
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